Sorta Likely

Put five events in order, from most to least likely.

The real odds

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Made by Fresh Ice · © 2026 Fresh Ice LLC

Try 1 of 3

How to play

Each puzzle has five events. Put them in order from most likely to least likely.

Slide each card to your guess of its chance, from 0% to 100%. The cards sort themselves as you go.
Tap Lock it in. You get 3 tries.
After each try, a ✓ or ✗ flipped appears between cards that sit next to each other.
🎯 Bullseye: guess within 5 points of the real chance and that card locks in and shows its real odds.

🎲 Math cards can be worked out (dice, coins, cards). 🌍 Real world cards come from real stats, with the source shown at the end. The small gray line under each card says exactly what counts.

New puzzles every day at Easy (odds far apart), Medium and Hard (odds very close together).

Your stats

Daily puzzles only. A streak counts days in a row you solved that level. Saved on this device.

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